Anomaly Detection and Prediction Based on Holt-Winters Method
Abstract
Outliers, detection and prediction of abnormal periods, and prediction of trends in a given time base on existing data are the first problems to be solved in intelligent operation and maintenance. This paper took KPI performance index of 58 cells covered by 5 base stations from August 28 to September 25, 2021 as research data, chose 3 indexes (average number of users, PDCP traffic and average activation number), established a set of outlier prediction system based on Holt-Winters method.
Copyright (c) 2023 Author(s)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Copyright on any open access article in a journal published by PiscoMed Publishing is retained by the author(s).
Authors grant PiscoMed Publishing a license to publish, copy, distribute, and convey the article.
The current adopted license, the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0), formalizes these and other terms and conditions of publishing articles. The license (CC BY 4.0) means:
Share: Everyone can copy and redistribute the open-access content in the journal.
Adapt: Materials in the articles can be remixed, reused, and reanalyzed for any purpose.
Attribution: You must cite the source with the correct license if some changes to the materials are made, but that does not mean that the licensor endorses you or your use.
Authors should ensure that the content of the article is not involved in a copyright dispute before submitting it. For previously published articles, authors should obtain permission from the copyright holder if the material is under a more restrictive license.
References
"Natural Gas load forecasting based on Holt-Winters Model", Technology and Market, No. 07, 2020, Hu Kai 23.
"Analysis and Application of time Series Prediction based on Holt-Winters in big data Monitoring." computer and Modernization, No.11, 2019, Wang Yufei, du Tiancang, p. 5.
Prediction of hospitalization based on Holt-winters exponential smoothing method. Chinese Medical Records, No. 09, 2018, Zhou Mengjun, pp. 52-53.
BlackEyes_SGC, outlier detection algorithm for data https://blog.csdn.net/u011204487/ article/details/ 105731065, October 30th, 2021.